Their analysis not only takes into account the internet users, but also cell phones in the countries of North Africa and the Middle East. The level of cell phone usage in some countries even appears to exceed the population!! (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, UAE).
Coupled with the Democracy Index (generally in the sub-sub basement), Military Spending and Corruption Score (generally in the super-super attic) the analysts propose whether revolution is likely and their estimation of the possibility of success. What they don’t say is what defines success???? It would be clearer if this could be determined in relation to the next natural developmental step for each country. Ah well … the analysis is brilliant anyway … and we will just have to stay tuned to see how the country might define success.